Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 15.581104 18.129821 20.901548 24.131615 27.783951 31.777096 36.464366
2025-06-22 11.505243 15.051449 19.297096 24.714032 31.396807 39.323648 49.385165
2025-06-29 8.715011 12.545098 17.498736 24.283641 33.229895 44.506592 59.660945
2025-07-06 6.683955 10.469058 15.705137 23.324302 33.945142 48.017322 67.820404
2025-07-13 5.905330 9.912547 15.766420 24.705080 37.720019 55.640931 81.761282
2025-07-20 5.244444 9.381060 15.730851 25.854340 41.172616 62.985502 95.757141
2025-07-27 4.619172 8.779020 15.470250 26.575685 43.985273 69.545503 109.011330
2025-08-03 3.999329 8.068637 14.919795 26.739478 45.903659 74.861872 120.730772
2025-08-10 3.372768 7.230682 14.031451 26.224839 46.661002 78.419577 129.980689
2025-08-17 2.827003 6.439851 13.104893 25.513092 46.985822 81.263106 138.232716
2025-08-24 2.360833 5.715202 12.189000 24.693911 47.016288 83.580904 145.725461
2025-08-31 1.964213 5.055668 11.296744 23.798367 46.800828 85.430776 152.509140
2025-09-07 1.809348 4.918468 11.449475 24.953316 50.458215 94.215859 171.598707
2025-09-14 1.588657 4.595315 11.199968 25.346965 52.848781 101.149202 188.279940
2025-09-21 1.329052 4.118201 10.552643 24.871860 53.581923 105.272472 200.493756
2025-09-28 1.077855 3.595863 9.714498 23.886508 53.224972 107.410675 209.383455
2025-10-05 1.017653 3.571518 9.999991 25.294780 57.638325 118.387869 234.327291
2025-10-12 0.947977 3.503822 10.171144 26.467420 61.666853 128.891564 258.974286
2025-10-19 0.861982 3.366386 10.149983 27.203448 64.856087 138.011003 281.589137
2025-10-26 0.759530 3.150353 9.895342 27.370569 66.865527 145.004052 300.665231
2025-11-02 0.642708 2.852550 9.375581 26.845443 67.346203 149.064487 314.492406
2025-11-09 0.536470 2.556396 8.805209 26.119148 67.309793 152.083585 326.484701
2025-11-16 0.443503 2.275698 8.223719 25.283153 66.938565 154.384301 337.188044